Gina Carano vs Marloes Coenen
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-2-0Record23-8-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'9"
66"ReachTBD
143 lbsWeight145 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamGolden Glory
What's at stake
Marloes Coenen is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Gina Carano carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+28→ 1624
If they lose-20→ 1576
If they win+10→ 1658
If they lose-14→ 1634
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1574 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1568 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gina CaranoMarloes Coenen
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gina Carano52%
Marloes Coenen 48%Elo baseline: 43%
The Combat Edge model makes Gina Carano a 52% favorite over Marloes Coenen in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Marloes Coenen's way (43%).
Marloes Coenen holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1648 to 1596, a 52-point edge.
Gina Carano enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Marloes Coenen enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Gina Carano finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Marloes Coenen 87%.
Gina Carano and Marloes Coenen share 1 common opponent: Cris Cyborg.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.