Combat Edge Intelligence

Gino van Steenis vs Jon Tuck

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jon Tuck
gu

Jon Tuck

“Super Saiyan”

11-5-0LightweightBFC

1627Solid

Tale of the tape

9-2-0Record11-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'11"
74"Reach73,0"
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
MMA Vlaardingen· 1680 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamKings MMA· 1672 avg Elo · 7 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gino van SteenisNow 1628
If they win+16→ 1644
If they lose-16→ 1612
Jon TuckNow 1627
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1510 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1616 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3
TBD
Strike accuracy
40%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.74
TBD
Strike defense
61%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.42
TBD
Takedown accuracy
33%
TBD
Takedown defense
50%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.97

Trajectory

Gino van SteenisJon Tuck
15501600201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (44%)
KO/TKO
5 (45%)
1 (11%)
Submission
5 (45%)
4 (44%)
Decision
1 (9%)

Combat Edge model read

Gino van Steenis84%
Jon Tuck 16%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Gino van Steenis a 84% favorite over Jon Tuck in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1628 vs 1627), separated by just 1 points.

Gino van Steenis enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Gino van Steenis finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Jon Tuck 91%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.