Combat Edge Intelligence

Gino van Steenis vs KJ Noons

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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KJ Noons
us

KJ Noons

“King”

13-9-0WelterweightUFC

1629Solid

Tale of the tape

9-2-0Record13-9-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'11"
74"Reach39.00
156 lbsWeight168 lbs
MMA Vlaardingen· 1681 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamThe Arena

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gino van SteenisNow 1630
If they win+16→ 1646
If they lose-16→ 1614
KJ NoonsNow 1629
If they win+16→ 1645
If they lose-16→ 1613

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1513 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1674 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.68
TBD
Strike accuracy
35%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.78
TBD
Strike defense
65%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.08
TBD
Takedown accuracy
20%
TBD
Takedown defense
69%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Gino van SteenisKJ Noons
1550160016502014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (44%)
KO/TKO
9 (69%)
1 (11%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (44%)
Decision
4 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Gino van Steenis64%
KJ Noons 36%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Gino van Steenis a 64% favorite over KJ Noons in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1630 vs 1629), separated by just 1 points.

Gino van Steenis enters on a 3-fight win streak.

KJ Noons enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Gino van Steenis finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, KJ Noons 69%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.