Combat Edge Intelligence

Gino van Steenis vs Tiago dos Santos e Silva

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-2-0Record22-9-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'10"
74"Reach 70.00"
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
MMA Vlaardingen· 1680 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamTeam Nogueira· 1582 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gino van SteenisNow 1628
If they win+16→ 1644
If they lose-16→ 1612
Tiago dos Santos e SilvaNow 1627
If they win+12→ 1639
If they lose-12→ 1615

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1510 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1544 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.72
TBD
Strike accuracy
48%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.57
TBD
Strike defense
54%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.88
TBD
Takedown accuracy
33%
TBD
Takedown defense
66%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.06

Trajectory

Gino van SteenisTiago dos Santos e Silva
155016002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (44%)
KO/TKO
7 (32%)
1 (11%)
Submission
7 (32%)
4 (44%)
Decision
8 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Gino van Steenis92%
Tiago dos Santos e Silva 8%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Gino van Steenis a 92% favorite over Tiago dos Santos e Silva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1628 vs 1627), separated by just 1 points.

Gino van Steenis enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Tiago dos Santos e Silva enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Gino van Steenis finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Tiago dos Santos e Silva 64%.

Gino van Steenis carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.