Combat Edge Intelligence

Gino van Steenis vs Tim Wilde

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tim Wilde
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Tim Wilde

“The Experiment”

17-7-1LightweightCage Warriors

1605Solid

Tale of the tape

8-2-0Record17-7-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'11"
74"Reach75"
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
MMA Vlaardingen· avg 1674 EloTeamRenegade MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gino van SteenisNow 1606
If they win+16→ 1622
If they lose-16→ 1590
Tim WildeNow 1605
If they win+16→ 1621
If they lose-16→ 1589

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1483 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1581 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Gino van SteenisTim Wilde
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (50%)
KO/TKO
7 (41%)
1 (13%)
Submission
1 (6%)
3 (38%)
Decision
9 (53%)

Combat Edge model read

Gino van Steenis66%
Tim Wilde 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Gino van Steenis a 66% favorite over Tim Wilde in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1606 vs 1605), separated by just 1 points.

Gino van Steenis enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Gino van Steenis finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Tim Wilde 47%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.