Giovanni Fernandez vs Morgan Thong
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-6-0Record0-2-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"HeightTBD
-Reach-
133 lbsWeight145 lbs
Pythagore Academy CognacTeamTactical Fight Team· 1555 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
Morgan Thong is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Giovanni Fernandez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+26→ 1452
If they lose-22→ 1404
If they win+22→ 1471
If they lose-26→ 1423
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Giovanni FernandezMorgan Thong
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Morgan Thong60%
Giovanni Fernandez 40%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Morgan Thong a 60% favorite over Giovanni Fernandez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Morgan Thong holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1449 to 1426, a 23-point edge.
Giovanni Fernandez enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Morgan Thong enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Giovanni Fernandez finishes 100% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.