Combat Edge Intelligence

Giovanni Fernandez vs Ryan Bastianelli

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

3-6-0Record6-7-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'5"
-ReachTBD
133 lbsWeight135 lbs
Pythagore Academy CognacTeamCombat Fitness

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Giovanni FernandezNow 1426
If they win+25→ 1451
If they lose-23→ 1403
Ryan BastianelliNow 1435
If they win+16→ 1451
If they lose-16→ 1419

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1495 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Giovanni FernandezRyan Bastianelli
14501500155020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (33%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
2 (67%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
6 (100%)

Combat Edge model read

Giovanni Fernandez66%
Ryan Bastianelli 34%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Giovanni Fernandez a 66% favorite over Ryan Bastianelli in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ryan Bastianelli's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1426 vs 1435), separated by just 9 points.

Giovanni Fernandez enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Ryan Bastianelli enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Giovanni Fernandez finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Bastianelli 0%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.