AdvertisementRemove ads — go Premium
Combat Edge Intelligence

Giovanni Fernandez vs Ryan Bastianelli

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

3-6-0Record6-7-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'5"
-ReachTBD
133 lbsWeight135 lbs
Pythagore Academy CognacTeamCombat Fitness

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Giovanni FernandezNow 1426
If they win+25→ 1451
If they lose-23→ 1403
Ryan BastianelliNow 1435
If they win+16→ 1451
If they lose-16→ 1419

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1495 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
Not available
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Giovanni FernandezRyan Bastianelli
14501500155020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (33%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
2 (67%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
6 (100%)

Combat Edge model read

Giovanni Fernandez52%
Ryan Bastianelli 48%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Giovanni Fernandez a 52% favorite over Ryan Bastianelli in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ryan Bastianelli's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1426 vs 1435), separated by just 9 points.

Giovanni Fernandez enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Ryan Bastianelli enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Giovanni Fernandez finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Bastianelli 0%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.