Combat Edge Intelligence

Giovanni Fernandez vs Ryan Hickey

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

3-6-0Record0-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'10"
-Reach-
133 lbsWeight136 lbs
Pythagore Academy CognacTeamPathway Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

Ryan Hickey is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Giovanni Fernandez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Giovanni FernandezNow 1426
If they win+27→ 1453
If they lose-21→ 1405
Ryan HickeyNow 1471
If they win+21→ 1492
If they lose-27→ 1444

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 1 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Giovanni FernandezRyan Hickey
145015001550202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (33%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
2 (67%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Ryan Hickey62%
Giovanni Fernandez 38%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Ryan Hickey a 62% favorite over Giovanni Fernandez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Ryan Hickey holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1471 to 1426, a 45-point edge.

Giovanni Fernandez enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Giovanni Fernandez finishes 100% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.