Giuliano Nicolas vs Josh Thornburg
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-4-0Record8-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height6'0"
-ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+23→ 1521
If they lose-25→ 1473
If they win+16→ 1504
If they lose-16→ 1472
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1519 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1558 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Giuliano NicolasJosh Thornburg
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Giuliano Nicolas70%
Josh Thornburg 30%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Giuliano Nicolas a 70% favorite over Josh Thornburg in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1498 vs 1488), separated by just 10 points.
Giuliano Nicolas enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Josh Thornburg enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Giuliano Nicolas finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Josh Thornburg 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.