Combat Edge Intelligence

Giuliano Nicolas vs Justin Haskins

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

4-4-0Record7-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'10"
-ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight161 lbs
One a OneTeamPellegrino MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Giuliano NicolasNow 1498
If they win+24→ 1522
If they lose-24→ 1474
Justin HaskinsNow 1499
If they win+16→ 1515
If they lose-16→ 1483

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1519 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.51
TBD
Strike accuracy
33%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.65
TBD
Strike defense
54%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.62
TBD
Takedown accuracy
40%
TBD
Takedown defense
53%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.81

Trajectory

Giuliano NicolasJustin Haskins
15001550200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
3 (43%)
2 (50%)
Submission
1 (14%)
2 (50%)
Decision
3 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Giuliano Nicolas57%
Justin Haskins 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Giuliano Nicolas a 57% favorite over Justin Haskins in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Justin Haskins's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1498 vs 1499), separated by just 1 points.

Giuliano Nicolas enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Giuliano Nicolas finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Justin Haskins 57%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.