Giuliano Nicolas vs Keiichiro Yamamiya
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-4-0Record45-35-10
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'11"
-ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
One a OneTeamGrabaka
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1522
If they lose-24→ 1474
If they win+12→ 1503
If they lose-12→ 1479
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1519 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Giuliano NicolasKeiichiro Yamamiya
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Giuliano Nicolas70%
Keiichiro Yamamiya 30%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Giuliano Nicolas a 70% favorite over Keiichiro Yamamiya in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1498 vs 1491), separated by just 7 points.
Giuliano Nicolas enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Keiichiro Yamamiya enters on a 7-fight loss streak.
Giuliano Nicolas finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Keiichiro Yamamiya 31%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.