Combat Edge Intelligence

Giuliano Nicolas vs Manuel Rodriguez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

4-4-0Record11-5-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'8"Height5'9"
-ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
One a OneTeamTP Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Giuliano NicolasNow 1498
If they win+23→ 1521
If they lose-25→ 1473
Manuel RodriguezNow 1489
If they win+25→ 1514
If they lose-23→ 1466

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1519 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0.81
TBD
Strike accuracy
33%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.23
TBD
Strike defense
38%
TBD
Takedown avg.
9.09
TBD
Takedown accuracy
75%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Giuliano NicolasManuel Rodriguez
1500155020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
2 (18%)
2 (50%)
Submission
7 (64%)
2 (50%)
Decision
2 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Giuliano Nicolas66%
Manuel Rodriguez 34%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Giuliano Nicolas a 66% favorite over Manuel Rodriguez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1498 vs 1489), separated by just 9 points.

Giuliano Nicolas enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Giuliano Nicolas finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Manuel Rodriguez 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.