Giuliano Nicolas vs Marcelo Aguiar
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
4-4-0Record2-3-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'8"
-ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight168 lbs
One a OneTeamAcademia Boxe
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1522
If they lose-24→ 1474
If they win+24→ 1526
If they lose-24→ 1478
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1519 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1587 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Giuliano NicolasMarcelo Aguiar
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Giuliano Nicolas63%
Marcelo Aguiar 37%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Giuliano Nicolas a 63% favorite over Marcelo Aguiar in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Marcelo Aguiar's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1498 vs 1502), separated by just 4 points.
Giuliano Nicolas enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Marcelo Aguiar enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Giuliano Nicolas finishes 50% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.