Giuliano Nicolas vs Martin Sano
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-4-0Record4-3-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'11"
-Reach75"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
One a OneTeamNick Diaz Academy· 1669 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1522
If they lose-24→ 1474
If they win+24→ 1515
If they lose-24→ 1467
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1519 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1561 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Giuliano NicolasMartin Sano
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Giuliano Nicolas66%
Martin Sano 34%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Giuliano Nicolas a 66% favorite over Martin Sano in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1498 vs 1491), separated by just 7 points.
Giuliano Nicolas enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Martin Sano enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Giuliano Nicolas finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Martin Sano 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.