Combat Edge Intelligence

Giuliano Nicolas vs Matt Helm

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

4-4-0Record1-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'11"
-ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight165 lbs
One a OneTeam

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Giuliano NicolasNow 1498
If they win+24→ 1522
If they lose-24→ 1474
Matt HelmNow 1502
If they win+24→ 1526
If they lose-24→ 1478

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1519 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 2 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.69
TBD
Strike accuracy
42%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.80
TBD
Strike defense
61%
TBD
Takedown avg.
3
TBD
Takedown accuracy
34%
TBD
Takedown defense
92%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Giuliano NicolasMatt Helm
1500155020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
1 (100%)
2 (50%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (50%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Giuliano Nicolas60%
Matt Helm 40%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Giuliano Nicolas a 60% favorite over Matt Helm in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Matt Helm's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1498 vs 1502), separated by just 4 points.

Giuliano Nicolas enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Giuliano Nicolas finishes 50% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.