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Combat Edge Intelligence

Giuseppe Ruggeri vs Josh Culibao

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

10-1-0Record11-4-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'9"
-Reach73"
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
Aurora MMA· 1567 avg Elo · 13 ratedTeamIgor MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Giuseppe RuggeriNow 1640
If they win+16→ 1656
If they lose-16→ 1624
Josh CulibaoNow 1638
If they win+16→ 1654
If they lose-16→ 1622

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1478 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1624 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
3.41
Not available
Strike accuracy
45%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.04
Not available
Strike defense
60%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0
Not available
Takedown accuracy
0%
Not available
Takedown defense
66%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.29

Trajectory

Giuseppe RuggeriJosh Culibao
16001650202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (30%)
KO/TKO
5 (45%)
2 (20%)
Submission
1 (9%)
5 (50%)
Decision
5 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

Josh Culibao66%
Giuseppe Ruggeri 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Josh Culibao a 66% favorite over Giuseppe Ruggeri in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Giuseppe Ruggeri's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1640 vs 1638), separated by just 2 points.

Giuseppe Ruggeri enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Josh Culibao enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Giuseppe Ruggeri finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Josh Culibao 55%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.