Combat Edge Intelligence

Gjoni Palokaj vs Lucas Almeida

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-3-0Record15-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height6'0"
-Reach71"
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
Fightschool HannoverTeamTeam Kioshi

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gjoni PalokajNow 1651
If they win+16→ 1667
If they lose-16→ 1635
Lucas AlmeidaNow 1651
If they win+16→ 1667
If they lose-16→ 1635

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1558 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1616 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.94
TBD
Strike accuracy
40%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.04
TBD
Strike defense
45%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
54%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Gjoni PalokajLucas Almeida
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (31%)
KO/TKO
9 (60%)
2 (15%)
Submission
5 (33%)
7 (54%)
Decision
1 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

Gjoni Palokaj63%
Lucas Almeida 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Gjoni Palokaj a 63% favorite over Lucas Almeida in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1651 vs 1651), separated by just 0 points.

Lucas Almeida enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Gjoni Palokaj finishes 46% of wins inside the distance, Lucas Almeida 93%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.