Glaico Franca vs Gregor Gillespie
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
25-8-0Record14-1-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'9"
77"Reach71,0"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Top TeamTeamBellmore Kickboxing Academy
What's at stake
Gregor Gillespie is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Glaico Franca carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1637
If they lose-9→ 1605
If they win+9→ 1782
If they lose-23→ 1750
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1545 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1648 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Glaico FrancaGregor Gillespie
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gregor Gillespie63%
Glaico Franca 37%Elo baseline: 71%
The Combat Edge model makes Gregor Gillespie a 63% favorite over Glaico Franca in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).
Gregor Gillespie holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1773 to 1614, a 159-point edge.
Glaico Franca finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Gregor Gillespie 86%.
Glaico Franca carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.