Combat Edge Intelligence

Gleb Khabibulin vs John Cholish

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-3-3Record8-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'6"Height5'11"
66"ReachTBD
147 lbsWeight155 lbs
Sech Pro· 1681 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamRenzo Gracie Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gleb KhabibulinNow 1640
If they win+16→ 1656
If they lose-16→ 1624
John CholishNow 1639
If they win+16→ 1655
If they lose-16→ 1623

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1548 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1570 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.65
TBD
Strike accuracy
50%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.29
TBD
Strike defense
73%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.82
TBD
Takedown accuracy
31%
TBD
Takedown defense
79%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.36

Trajectory

Gleb KhabibulinJohn Cholish
1600165017002011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (33%)
KO/TKO
3 (38%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (50%)
8 (67%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Gleb Khabibulin66%
John Cholish 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Gleb Khabibulin a 66% favorite over John Cholish in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1640 vs 1639), separated by just 1 points.

John Cholish enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Gleb Khabibulin finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, John Cholish 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.