Gleison Tibau vs Jason Dent
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
38-19-0Record22-13-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'10"
71,0"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight158 lbs
American Top TeamTeamGriffonRawl Thaiboxing & MMA Academy
What's at stake
Gleison Tibau is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Jason Dent carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1688
If they lose-15→ 1664
If they win+15→ 1604
If they lose-9→ 1580
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1632 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1559 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gleison TibauJason Dent
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gleison Tibau68%
Jason Dent 32%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Gleison Tibau a 68% favorite over Jason Dent in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Gleison Tibau holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1679 to 1589, a 90-point edge.
Gleison Tibau finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Jason Dent 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.