Gleison Tibau vs Jeff Cox
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
40-20-0Record10-7-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"HeightTBD
71"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Top TeamTeamStrong Style Fight Team
What's at stake
Gleison Tibau is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Jeff Cox carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1668
If they lose-15→ 1644
If they win+21→ 1579
If they lose-11→ 1547
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1612 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1510 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Gleison TibauJeff Cox
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gleison Tibau81%
Jeff Cox 19%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Gleison Tibau a 81% favorite over Jeff Cox in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Gleison Tibau holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1659 to 1558, a 101-point edge.
Gleison Tibau finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Jeff Cox 90%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.