Combat Edge Intelligence

Gleison Tibau vs Jeff Cox

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jeff Cox
us

Jeff Cox

10-7-0LightweightICF

1564Solid

Tale of the tape

38-19-0Record10-7-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"HeightTBD
71,0"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Top TeamTeamStrong Style Fight Team

What's at stake

Gleison Tibau is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Jeff Cox carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Gleison TibauNow 1675
If they win+8→ 1683
If they lose-16→ 1659
Jeff CoxNow 1564
If they win+21→ 1585
If they lose-11→ 1553

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1622 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.95
Sig. strikes / min
0.56
32%
Strike accuracy
25%
2.51
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.69
63%
Strike defense
33%
4.08
Takedown avg.
4.23
54%
Takedown accuracy
50%
92%
Takedown defense
80%
0.83
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Gleison TibauJeff Cox
1550160016501700200720082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

4 (11%)
KO/TKO
4 (40%)
15 (39%)
Submission
5 (50%)
19 (50%)
Decision
1 (10%)

Combat Edge model read

Gleison Tibau76%
Jeff Cox 24%Elo baseline: 65%

The Combat Edge model makes Gleison Tibau a 76% favorite over Jeff Cox in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).

Gleison Tibau holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1675 to 1564, a 111-point edge.

Gleison Tibau finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Jeff Cox 90%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.