Gleison Tibau vs Josh Neer
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
40-20-0Record36-16-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'11"
71"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
American Top TeamTeamCesar Gracie Fight Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1671
If they lose-12→ 1647
If they win+12→ 1659
If they lose-12→ 1635
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1612 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1577 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Gleison TibauJosh Neer
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gleison Tibau71%
Josh Neer 29%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Gleison Tibau a 71% favorite over Josh Neer in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1659 vs 1647), separated by just 12 points.
Josh Neer enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Gleison Tibau finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Josh Neer 89%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.