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Combat Edge Intelligence

Gleison Tibau vs Kurt Pellegrino

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Official bout pages

New comparison

This page compares both fighters across their careers. Event-specific previews, results, round stats, and bout facts live on the separate official Fight page for each meeting.

Tale of the tape

40-20-0Record16-7-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'8"
71"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Top TeamTeamPellegrino MMA

What's at stake

Gleison Tibau is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Kurt Pellegrino carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Gleison TibauNow 1659
If they win+11→ 1670
If they lose-13→ 1646
Kurt PellegrinoNow 1616
If they win+18→ 1634
If they lose-14→ 1602

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1612 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1593 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.95
Sig. strikes / min
2.45
32%
Strike accuracy
43%
2.51
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.94
63%
Strike defense
63%
4.08
Takedown avg.
2.90
54%
Takedown accuracy
55%
92%
Takedown defense
69%
0.83
Submission avg.
0.85

Trajectory

Gleison TibauKurt Pellegrino
1600165020102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (10%)
KO/TKO
2 (13%)
16 (40%)
Submission
10 (63%)
20 (50%)
Decision
4 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Gleison Tibau78%
Kurt Pellegrino 22%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Gleison Tibau a 78% favorite over Kurt Pellegrino in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Gleison Tibau holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1659 to 1616, a 43-point edge.

Kurt Pellegrino enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Gleison Tibau finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Kurt Pellegrino 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.