Gleison Tibau vs Norman Parke
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
40-20-0Record32-7-1
WelterweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'10"Height5'10"
71"Reach40,0"
170 lbsWeight200 lbs
American Top TeamTeamNext Generation NI
What's at stake
Norman Parke is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Gleison Tibau carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1674
If they lose-9→ 1650
If they win+9→ 1744
If they lose-15→ 1720
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1612 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1519 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Gleison TibauNorman Parke
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Norman Parke59%
Gleison Tibau 41%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Norman Parke a 59% favorite over Gleison Tibau in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Norman Parke holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1735 to 1659, a 76-point edge.
Norman Parke enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Gleison Tibau finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Norman Parke 53%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.