Gleison Tibau vs Pat Healy
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
40-20-0Record34-24-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
71"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Top TeamTeamSports Lab
What's at stake
Gleison Tibau is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Pat Healy carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1670
If they lose-13→ 1646
If they win+13→ 1643
If they lose-11→ 1619
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1612 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1599 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Gleison TibauPat Healy
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gleison Tibau59%
Pat Healy 41%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Gleison Tibau a 59% favorite over Pat Healy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Gleison Tibau holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1659 to 1630, a 29-point edge.
Gleison Tibau finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Pat Healy 65%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.