Combat Edge Intelligence

Gleison Tibau vs Pat Healy

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Pat Healy
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Pat Healy

“Bam Bam”

34-24-0LightweightACB

1631Solid

Tale of the tape

38-19-0Record34-24-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
71,0"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Top TeamTeamSports Lab

What's at stake

Gleison Tibau is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Pat Healy carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Gleison TibauNow 1675
If they win+10→ 1685
If they lose-14→ 1661
Pat HealyNow 1631
If they win+14→ 1645
If they lose-10→ 1621

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1622 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1603 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.95
Sig. strikes / min
2.57
32%
Strike accuracy
37%
2.51
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.57
63%
Strike defense
50%
4.08
Takedown avg.
3.08
54%
Takedown accuracy
37%
92%
Takedown defense
56%
0.83
Submission avg.
1.05

Trajectory

Gleison TibauPat Healy
16501700201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

4 (11%)
KO/TKO
7 (21%)
15 (39%)
Submission
15 (44%)
19 (50%)
Decision
12 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Gleison Tibau68%
Pat Healy 32%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Gleison Tibau a 68% favorite over Pat Healy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Gleison Tibau holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1675 to 1631, a 44-point edge.

Gleison Tibau finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Pat Healy 65%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.