Gleison Tibau vs Piotr Hallmann
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
38-19-0Record19-6-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
71,0"Reach41,0"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Top TeamTeamMighty Bulls Gdynia
What's at stake
Gleison Tibau is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Piotr Hallmann carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1686
If they lose-13→ 1662
If they win+17→ 1674
If they lose-15→ 1642
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1622 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1582 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gleison TibauPiotr Hallmann
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Piotr Hallmann67%
Gleison Tibau 33%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Piotr Hallmann a 67% favorite over Gleison Tibau in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Gleison Tibau's way (47%).
Gleison Tibau holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1675 to 1657, a 18-point edge.
Piotr Hallmann enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Gleison Tibau finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Piotr Hallmann 79%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.