Gleison Tibau vs Shamil Basaev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
38-19-0Record8-0-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
71,0"Reach71.3"
170 lbsWeight147 lbs
American Top TeamTeamFight Club Akhmat· 1683 avg Elo · 20 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1691
If they lose-12→ 1667
If they win+24→ 1702
If they lose-24→ 1654
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1632 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1520 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gleison TibauShamil Basaev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Shamil Basaev70%
Gleison Tibau 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Shamil Basaev a 70% favorite over Gleison Tibau in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Gleison Tibau's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1679 vs 1678), separated by just 1 points.
Shamil Basaev enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Gleison Tibau finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Shamil Basaev 63%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.