Gleison Tibau vs Tyson Griffin
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
38-19-0Record17-8-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'6"
71,0"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Top TeamTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy· 1641 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
Gleison Tibau is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Tyson Griffin carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1688
If they lose-15→ 1664
If they win+20→ 1604
If they lose-12→ 1572
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1632 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1657 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gleison TibauTyson Griffin
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gleison Tibau56%
Tyson Griffin 44%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Gleison Tibau a 56% favorite over Tyson Griffin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Gleison Tibau holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1679 to 1584, a 95-point edge.
Gleison Tibau finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Tyson Griffin 53%.
Gleison Tibau and Tyson Griffin share 1 common opponent: Efrain Escudero.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.