Combat Edge Intelligence

Gloria de Paula vs Haidy Ahmed

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-7-0Record3-2-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'5"Height5'3"
67"Reach-
116 lbsWeight116 lbs
Fabiana Belai AcademiaTeamTiger Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gloria de PaulaNow 1494
If they win+16→ 1510
If they lose-16→ 1478
Haidy AhmedNow 1493
If they win+24→ 1517
If they lose-24→ 1469

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1551 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.89
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
54%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.77
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
66%
Strike defense
TBD
0.74
Takedown avg.
TBD
38%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
65%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.49
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Gloria de PaulaHaidy Ahmed
150015502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (50%)
KO/TKO
1 (33%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (50%)
Decision
2 (67%)

Combat Edge model read

Haidy Ahmed63%
Gloria de Paula 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Haidy Ahmed a 63% favorite over Gloria de Paula in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Gloria de Paula's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1494 vs 1493), separated by just 1 points.

Gloria de Paula enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Gloria de Paula finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Haidy Ahmed 33%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.