Gloria de Paula vs Jinh Yu Frey
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-7-0Record11-10-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'5"Height5'2"
67"Reach65"
116 lbsWeight115 lbs
Fabiana Belai AcademiaTeamFortis MMA
What's at stake
Jinh Yu Frey is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Gloria de Paula carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1511
If they lose-15→ 1479
If they win+15→ 1534
If they lose-17→ 1502
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1551 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1566 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gloria de PaulaJinh Yu Frey
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gloria de Paula53%
Jinh Yu Frey 47%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Gloria de Paula a 53% favorite over Jinh Yu Frey in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jinh Yu Frey's way (46%).
Jinh Yu Frey holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1519 to 1494, a 25-point edge.
Gloria de Paula enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jinh Yu Frey enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Gloria de Paula finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Jinh Yu Frey 27%.
Gloria de Paula and Jinh Yu Frey share 1 common opponent: Ashley Yoder.
Gloria de Paula carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.