Gloria de Paula vs Maria Oliveira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-7-0Record13-7-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'5"Height5'5"
67"Reach69"
116 lbsWeight115 lbs
Fabiana Belai AcademiaTeamParana Vale Tudo
What's at stake
Maria Oliveira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Gloria de Paula carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1514
If they lose-12→ 1482
If they win+12→ 1600
If they lose-20→ 1568
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1551 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1532 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gloria de PaulaMaria Oliveira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Maria Oliveira70%
Gloria de Paula 30%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Maria Oliveira a 70% favorite over Gloria de Paula in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Maria Oliveira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1588 to 1494, a 94-point edge.
Gloria de Paula enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Maria Oliveira enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Gloria de Paula finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Maria Oliveira 62%.
Gloria de Paula and Maria Oliveira share 1 common opponent: Diana Belbiţă.
Maria Oliveira carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.