Combat Edge Intelligence

Glover Teixeira vs Jan Błachowicz

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

33-9-0Record29-12-2
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
76"Reach78"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Teixeira MMA & Fitness· 1664 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamWCA Fight Team· 1652 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

Glover Teixeira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Jan Błachowicz carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Glover TeixeiraNow 1811
If they win+9→ 1820
If they lose-15→ 1796
Jan BłachowiczNow 1733
If they win+15→ 1748
If they lose-9→ 1724

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1720 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1759 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.73
Sig. strikes / min
3.55
50%
Strike accuracy
50%
4.43
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.14
51%
Strike defense
52%
2.11
Takedown avg.
0.98
34%
Takedown accuracy
31%
60%
Takedown defense
69%
0.94
Submission avg.
0.36

Trajectory

Glover TeixeiraJan Błachowicz
175018001850202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

18 (55%)
KO/TKO
9 (31%)
10 (30%)
Submission
9 (31%)
5 (15%)
Decision
11 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Glover Teixeira and Jan Błachowicz within a point of even.

Glover Teixeira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1811 to 1733, a 78-point edge.

Glover Teixeira enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Glover Teixeira finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Jan Błachowicz 62%.

Glover Teixeira and Jan Błachowicz share 1 common opponent: Corey Anderson.

Jan Błachowicz carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDEC · 2018
Corey Anderson
WinKO · 2020