Combat Edge Intelligence

Glover Teixeira vs Karl Roberson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

33-9-0Record9-7-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'1"
76"Reach74"
205 lbsWeight184 lbs
Teixeira MMA & FitnessTeamKiller B Combat Sports Academy

What's at stake

Glover Teixeira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Karl Roberson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Glover TeixeiraNow 1811
If they win+6→ 1817
If they lose-18→ 1793
Karl RobersonNow 1607
If they win+24→ 1631
If they lose-8→ 1599

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1720 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1670 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.73
Sig. strikes / min
2.57
50%
Strike accuracy
52%
4.43
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.42
51%
Strike defense
58%
2.11
Takedown avg.
0.72
34%
Takedown accuracy
40%
60%
Takedown defense
43%
0.94
Submission avg.
0.54

Trajectory

Glover TeixeiraKarl Roberson
1600170018002020202120222023

Win method breakdown

18 (55%)
KO/TKO
2 (22%)
10 (30%)
Submission
4 (44%)
5 (15%)
Decision
3 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Glover Teixeira77%
Karl Roberson 23%Elo baseline: 76%

The Combat Edge model makes Glover Teixeira a 77% favorite over Karl Roberson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (76%).

Glover Teixeira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1811 to 1607, a 204-point edge.

Glover Teixeira enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Karl Roberson enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Glover Teixeira finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Karl Roberson 67%.

Glover Teixeira carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.