Combat Edge Intelligence

Glover Teixeira vs Kyle Kingsbury

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

33-9-0Record11-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'4"
76"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Teixeira MMA & FitnessTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy

What's at stake

Glover Teixeira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +5 while a loss costs more — Kyle Kingsbury carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Glover TeixeiraNow 1811
If they win+5→ 1816
If they lose-19→ 1792
Kyle KingsburyNow 1587
If they win+25→ 1612
If they lose-7→ 1580

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1720 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1611 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.73
Sig. strikes / min
2.97
50%
Strike accuracy
41%
4.43
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.81
51%
Strike defense
51%
2.11
Takedown avg.
2.64
34%
Takedown accuracy
42%
60%
Takedown defense
52%
0.94
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Glover TeixeiraKyle Kingsbury
160017001800201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

18 (55%)
KO/TKO
4 (36%)
10 (30%)
Submission
2 (18%)
5 (15%)
Decision
5 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

Glover Teixeira83%
Kyle Kingsbury 17%Elo baseline: 78%

The Combat Edge model makes Glover Teixeira a 83% favorite over Kyle Kingsbury in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (78%).

Glover Teixeira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1811 to 1587, a 224-point edge.

Glover Teixeira enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Kyle Kingsbury enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Glover Teixeira finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Kyle Kingsbury 55%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.