Combat Edge Intelligence

Glover Teixeira vs Misha Cirkunov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

33-9-0Record15-9-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
76"Reach77"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Teixeira MMA & FitnessTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

Glover Teixeira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Misha Cirkunov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Glover TeixeiraNow 1811
If they win+7→ 1818
If they lose-17→ 1794
Misha CirkunovNow 1670
If they win+22→ 1692
If they lose-10→ 1660

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1720 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1682 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.73
Sig. strikes / min
3.86
50%
Strike accuracy
52%
4.43
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.06
51%
Strike defense
58%
2.11
Takedown avg.
4.15
34%
Takedown accuracy
40%
60%
Takedown defense
77%
0.94
Submission avg.
1.71

Trajectory

Glover TeixeiraMisha Cirkunov
16501700175018001850202120222023

Win method breakdown

18 (55%)
KO/TKO
5 (33%)
10 (30%)
Submission
8 (53%)
5 (15%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Glover Teixeira61%
Misha Cirkunov 39%Elo baseline: 69%

The Combat Edge model makes Glover Teixeira a 61% favorite over Misha Cirkunov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).

Glover Teixeira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1811 to 1670, a 141-point edge.

Glover Teixeira enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Misha Cirkunov enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Glover Teixeira finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Misha Cirkunov 87%.

Glover Teixeira and Misha Cirkunov share 1 common opponent: Nikita Krylov.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision (split) · 2019
Nikita Krylov
WinSUB · 2016