Combat Edge Intelligence

Glover Teixeira vs Patrick Cummins

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

33-9-0Record10-7-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
76"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Teixeira MMA & FitnessTeamReign MMA

What's at stake

Glover Teixeira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Patrick Cummins carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Glover TeixeiraNow 1811
If they win+6→ 1817
If they lose-18→ 1793
Patrick CumminsNow 1602
If they win+25→ 1627
If they lose-7→ 1595

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1720 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1667 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.73
Sig. strikes / min
4.26
50%
Strike accuracy
51%
4.43
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.35
51%
Strike defense
56%
2.11
Takedown avg.
4.49
34%
Takedown accuracy
41%
60%
Takedown defense
29%
0.94
Submission avg.
0.13

Trajectory

Glover TeixeiraPatrick Cummins
160017001800201820192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

18 (55%)
KO/TKO
4 (40%)
10 (30%)
Submission
2 (20%)
5 (15%)
Decision
4 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Glover Teixeira83%
Patrick Cummins 17%Elo baseline: 77%

The Combat Edge model makes Glover Teixeira a 83% favorite over Patrick Cummins in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (77%).

Glover Teixeira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1811 to 1602, a 209-point edge.

Glover Teixeira enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Patrick Cummins enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Glover Teixeira finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Patrick Cummins 60%.

Glover Teixeira and Patrick Cummins share 3 common opponents: Jan Błachowicz, Corey Anderson and Misha Cirkunov.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (3)

WinKO/TKO · 2017
Misha Cirkunov
LossSUB · 2018
LossDEC · 2018
Corey Anderson
LossDEC · 2018
WinSubmission · 2021
Jan Błachowicz
WinDEC · 2017