Combat Edge Intelligence

Glover Teixeira vs Phil Davis

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Phil Davis
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Phil Davis

“Mr. Wonderful”

24-7-0Light HeavyweightBFC

1739Good

Tale of the tape

33-9-0Record24-7-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
76"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Teixeira MMA & FitnessTeamAlliance MMA

What's at stake

Glover Teixeira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Phil Davis carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Glover TeixeiraNow 1811
If they win+10→ 1821
If they lose-14→ 1797
Phil DavisNow 1739
If they win+14→ 1753
If they lose-10→ 1729

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1720 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1665 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.73
Sig. strikes / min
2.87
50%
Strike accuracy
35%
4.43
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.39
51%
Strike defense
72%
2.11
Takedown avg.
2.76
34%
Takedown accuracy
36%
60%
Takedown defense
72%
0.94
Submission avg.
0.53

Trajectory

Glover TeixeiraPhil Davis
17501800185020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

18 (55%)
KO/TKO
6 (25%)
10 (30%)
Submission
5 (21%)
5 (15%)
Decision
13 (54%)

Combat Edge model read

Glover Teixeira54%
Phil Davis 46%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Glover Teixeira a 54% favorite over Phil Davis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Glover Teixeira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1811 to 1739, a 72-point edge.

Glover Teixeira enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Glover Teixeira finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Phil Davis 46%.

Glover Teixeira and Phil Davis share 1 common opponent: Corey Anderson.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDEC · 2018
Corey Anderson
LossDecision (Split) · 2023