Combat Edge Intelligence

Glover Teixeira vs Rashad Evans

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

33-9-0Record20-8-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height5'11"
76"Reach75"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Teixeira MMA & FitnessTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

Glover Teixeira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Rashad Evans carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Glover TeixeiraNow 1811
If they win+7→ 1818
If they lose-17→ 1794
Rashad EvansNow 1674
If they win+17→ 1691
If they lose-7→ 1667

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1720 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1724 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.73
Sig. strikes / min
2.14
50%
Strike accuracy
38%
4.43
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.42
51%
Strike defense
63%
2.11
Takedown avg.
2.98
34%
Takedown accuracy
45%
60%
Takedown defense
74%
0.94
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Glover TeixeiraRashad Evans
1700175018001850202120222023

Win method breakdown

18 (55%)
KO/TKO
8 (40%)
10 (30%)
Submission
1 (5%)
5 (15%)
Decision
11 (55%)

Combat Edge model read

Glover Teixeira75%
Rashad Evans 25%Elo baseline: 69%

The Combat Edge model makes Glover Teixeira a 75% favorite over Rashad Evans in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).

Glover Teixeira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1811 to 1674, a 137-point edge.

Glover Teixeira enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Glover Teixeira finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Rashad Evans 45%.

Glover Teixeira and Rashad Evans share 1 common opponent: Anthony Smith.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinTKO · 2020
Anthony Smith
LossKO/TKO · 2018