Combat Edge Intelligence

Glover Teixeira vs Ryan Bader

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ryan Bader
us

Ryan Bader

“Darth”

31-8-0HeavyweightPFL

1826Great

Tale of the tape

33-9-0Record31-8-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
76"Reach74,0"
205 lbsWeight232 lbs
Teixeira MMA & Fitness· 1664 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamPower MMA Team

What's at stake

Ryan Bader is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Glover Teixeira carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Glover TeixeiraNow 1811
If they win+13→ 1824
If they lose-11→ 1800
Ryan BaderNow 1826
If they win+11→ 1837
If they lose-13→ 1813

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1720 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1748 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.73
Sig. strikes / min
2.82
50%
Strike accuracy
43%
4.43
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.39
51%
Strike defense
72%
2.11
Takedown avg.
3.37
34%
Takedown accuracy
44%
60%
Takedown defense
81%
0.94
Submission avg.
0.44

Trajectory

Glover TeixeiraRyan Bader
180018502021202220232024

Win method breakdown

18 (55%)
KO/TKO
13 (42%)
10 (30%)
Submission
3 (10%)
5 (15%)
Decision
15 (48%)

Combat Edge model read

Ryan Bader64%
Glover Teixeira 36%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Ryan Bader a 64% favorite over Glover Teixeira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Ryan Bader holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1826 to 1811, a 15-point edge.

Glover Teixeira enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Glover Teixeira finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Bader 52%.

Glover Teixeira and Ryan Bader share 1 common opponent: Corey Anderson.

Glover Teixeira carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDEC · 2018
Corey Anderson
LossTKO (Punches) · 2021