Glover Teixeira vs Thiago Santos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
33-9-0Record22-13-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
76"Reach 76"
205 lbsWeight241 lbs
Teixeira MMA & FitnessTeamTeam Marreta
What's at stake
Glover Teixeira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Thiago Santos carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1819
If they lose-16→ 1795
If they win+16→ 1710
If they lose-8→ 1686
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1720 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1743 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Glover TeixeiraThiago Santos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Glover Teixeira64%
Thiago Santos 36%Elo baseline: 66%
The Combat Edge model makes Glover Teixeira a 64% favorite over Thiago Santos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).
Glover Teixeira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1811 to 1694, a 117-point edge.
Glover Teixeira enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Thiago Santos enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Glover Teixeira finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Thiago Santos 73%.
Glover Teixeira and Thiago Santos share 2 common opponents: Jamahal Hill and Jan Błachowicz.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.