Combat Edge Intelligence

Gokhan Saricam vs Justin Willis

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-2-0Record8-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'1"
76"Reach41,0"
246 lbsWeight265 lbs
MMA VlaardingenTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gokhan SaricamNow 1663
If they win+16→ 1679
If they lose-16→ 1647
Justin WillisNow 1657
If they win+16→ 1673
If they lose-16→ 1641

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1573 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0
Sig. strikes / min
3.37
TBD
Strike accuracy
59%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.57
TBD
Strike defense
58%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.96
TBD
Takedown accuracy
67%
TBD
Takedown defense
36%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Gokhan SaricamJustin Willis
1600165017002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (67%)
KO/TKO
4 (50%)
1 (8%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (25%)
Decision
4 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Gokhan Saricam70%
Justin Willis 30%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Gokhan Saricam a 70% favorite over Justin Willis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1663 vs 1657), separated by just 6 points.

Gokhan Saricam enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Gokhan Saricam finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Justin Willis 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.