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Combat Edge Intelligence

Grégory Robinet vs Roggers Souza

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-4-0Record15-10-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height6'4"
TBDReach79"
255 lbsWeight265 lbs
Multiboxing PersanTeamAlcateia MMA· 1554 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Grégory RobinetNow 1531
If they win+16→ 1547
If they lose-16→ 1515
Roggers SouzaNow 1531
If they win+16→ 1547
If they lose-16→ 1515

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1495 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1563 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
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Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Grégory RobinetRoggers Souza
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (14%)
KO/TKO
10 (67%)
1 (14%)
Submission
4 (27%)
5 (71%)
Decision
1 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

Roggers Souza63%
Grégory Robinet 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Roggers Souza a 63% favorite over Grégory Robinet in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Grégory Robinet's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1531 vs 1531), separated by just 0 points.

Roggers Souza enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Grégory Robinet finishes 29% of wins inside the distance, Roggers Souza 93%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.