Combat Edge Intelligence

Grant Dawson vs Manuel Torres

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

24-3-1Record17-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
72"Reach73"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Top TeamTeamEntram Gym

What's at stake

Grant Dawson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Manuel Torres carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Grant DawsonNow 1802
If they win+9→ 1811
If they lose-15→ 1787
Manuel TorresNow 1711
If they win+20→ 1731
If they lose-12→ 1699

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1723 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1637 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.21
Sig. strikes / min
7.29
52%
Strike accuracy
60%
2.13
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.08
45%
Strike defense
54%
3.81
Takedown avg.
1.72
40%
Takedown accuracy
67%
57%
Takedown defense
91%
1.12
Submission avg.
0.86

Trajectory

Grant DawsonManuel Torres
170017501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (21%)
KO/TKO
9 (53%)
14 (58%)
Submission
7 (41%)
5 (21%)
Decision
1 (6%)

Combat Edge model read

Grant Dawson60%
Manuel Torres 40%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Grant Dawson a 60% favorite over Manuel Torres in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Grant Dawson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1802 to 1711, a 91-point edge.

Grant Dawson finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Manuel Torres 94%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.