Grant Dawson vs Manuel Torres
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-3-1Record17-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
72"Reach73"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Top TeamTeamEntram Gym· 1678 avg Elo · 12 rated
What's at stake
Grant Dawson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Manuel Torres carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1810
If they lose-15→ 1786
If they win+20→ 1732
If they lose-12→ 1700
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1723 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1638 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Grant DawsonManuel Torres
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Grant Dawson74%
Manuel Torres 26%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Grant Dawson a 74% favorite over Manuel Torres in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Grant Dawson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1801 to 1712, a 89-point edge.
Grant Dawson finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Manuel Torres 94%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.