Grant Dawson vs Nad Narimani
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-3-1Record12-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'8"
72"Reach40,5"
155 lbsWeight150 lbs
American Top TeamTeamTeam Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 21 rated
What's at stake
Grant Dawson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Nad Narimani carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+7→ 1809
If they lose-17→ 1785
If they win+23→ 1674
If they lose-9→ 1642
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1723 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1603 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Grant DawsonNad Narimani
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Grant Dawson92%
Nad Narimani 8%Elo baseline: 70%
The Combat Edge model makes Grant Dawson a 92% favorite over Nad Narimani in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (70%).
Grant Dawson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1802 to 1651, a 151-point edge.
Nad Narimani enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Grant Dawson finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Nad Narimani 58%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.