Grant Dawson vs Paddy Pimblett
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-3-1Record24-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
72"Reach 73"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Top TeamTeamNext Generation UK
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1814
If they lose-12→ 1790
If they win+12→ 1807
If they lose-12→ 1783
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1723 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1689 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Grant DawsonPaddy Pimblett
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Grant Dawson and Paddy Pimblett within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1802 vs 1795), separated by just 7 points.
Grant Dawson finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Paddy Pimblett 75%.
Grant Dawson and Paddy Pimblett share 2 common opponents: King Green and Jared Gordon.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.