Grant Neal vs Kestutis Smirnovas
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-2-0Record24-8-2
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height5'10"
72"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight198 lbs
Genesis Training AcademyTeamAudra Gym
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1647
If they lose-16→ 1615
If they win+12→ 1643
If they lose-12→ 1619
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1550 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1535 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Grant NealKestutis Smirnovas
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Grant Neal60%
Kestutis Smirnovas 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Grant Neal a 60% favorite over Kestutis Smirnovas in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1631 vs 1631), separated by just 0 points.
Grant Neal enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Grant Neal finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Kestutis Smirnovas 74%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.