Grant Neal vs Nick Roehrick
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-2-0Record9-2-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'3"
72"Reach41,0"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Genesis Training AcademyTeamElevation Fight Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1639
If they lose-16→ 1607
If they win+16→ 1634
If they lose-16→ 1602
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1539 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Grant NealNick Roehrick
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Grant Neal62%
Nick Roehrick 38%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Grant Neal a 62% favorite over Nick Roehrick in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1623 vs 1618), separated by just 5 points.
Grant Neal enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Grant Neal finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Nick Roehrick 44%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.