Grant Neal vs Sean O'Connell
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-2-0Record21-10-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'1"
72"Reach74,0"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1647
If they lose-16→ 1615
If they win+12→ 1642
If they lose-12→ 1618
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1550 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1598 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Grant NealSean O'Connell
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Grant Neal61%
Sean O'Connell 39%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Grant Neal a 61% favorite over Sean O'Connell in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1631 vs 1630), separated by just 1 points.
Grant Neal enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Sean O'Connell enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Grant Neal finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Sean O'Connell 71%.
Sean O'Connell carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.