Combat Edge Intelligence

Grant Neal vs Vladimir Vasilyev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Grant Neal
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Grant Neal

“The Truth”

9-2-0Light HeavyweightBFC

1642Solid

Tale of the tape

9-2-0Record14-5-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'0"
72"Reach73"
205 lbsWeight187 lbs
Genesis Training AcademyTeamSport Club First Line

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Grant NealNow 1642
If they win+16→ 1658
If they lose-16→ 1626
Vladimir VasilyevNow 1641
If they win+16→ 1657
If they lose-16→ 1625

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1532 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
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Strike defense
TBD
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Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
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Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Grant NealVladimir Vasilyev
1600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (11%)
KO/TKO
8 (57%)
3 (33%)
Submission
4 (29%)
5 (56%)
Decision
2 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Vladimir Vasilyev62%
Grant Neal 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Vladimir Vasilyev a 62% favorite over Grant Neal in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Grant Neal's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1642 vs 1641), separated by just 1 points.

Grant Neal finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Vladimir Vasilyev 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.