Combat Edge Intelligence

Gray Maynard vs Joe Veres

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Gray Maynard
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Gray Maynard

“The Bully”

13-7-1FeatherweightUFC

1618Solid

Tale of the tape

13-7-1Record4-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'6"
70,0"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Kickboxing AcademyTeamMMA Lab

What's at stake

Gray Maynard is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Joe Veres carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Gray MaynardNow 1618
If they win+12→ 1630
If they lose-20→ 1598
Joe VeresNow 1523
If they win+30→ 1553
If they lose-18→ 1505

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1608 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.92
Sig. strikes / min
0
33%
Strike accuracy
0%
2.64
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.55
67%
Strike defense
27%
2.91
Takedown avg.
0
48%
Takedown accuracy
0%
81%
Takedown defense
0%
0.70
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Gray MaynardJoe Veres
15001550160016502006200720082009201020112012201320142015201620172018

Win method breakdown

2 (15%)
KO/TKO
1 (33%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (33%)
11 (85%)
Decision
1 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Gray Maynard58%
Joe Veres 42%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Gray Maynard a 58% favorite over Joe Veres in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Gray Maynard holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1618 to 1523, a 95-point edge.

Gray Maynard finishes 15% of wins inside the distance, Joe Veres 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.